Records for the currently active algorithms are listed to the right. Algorithms and their selections will be posted daily to Twitter (@TheSharpPlays) or on this page for monitoring. Algorithms in testing should not be wagered on for any material amount of money.
“It’s very easy to be a critic. It’s very hard to create. Yet it’s creation, not criticism that builds societies and indeed inspires people.” – Douglas Murray.
Today’s (11/21/19) Algorithm Notes – It’s hysterical! The 1st Period algorithm flipped to an active fade and has since gone 0-7! Meaning following the original equation, as opposed to fading it, would be 7-0! LOL! I’ll keep posting and watching. I’ll let it roll a little longer before making any decisions. In other algorithm news, there was no Salami yesterday as no valued showed. However the highlight recently has been the performance of the NCAABB Totals Algorithm which went 2-0 hitting the 1st Half and the full game! For Thursday I will be running the NFL Spread v2.0 algorithm, the NFL 1st Quarter algorithm, the NHL 1st Period and Grand Salami algorithms, the NCAAF Spread v3.1 and Totals v6.2 algorithms and of course the NCAABB Totals v3.0 algorithm. When those are ready I will post them to Twitter! Be sure to also check The Sharp Plays Index page for today’s chart.
“The book doesn’t require us to bet everyday and for the most part they do not have a minimum wager. I will gladly bet very lightly when I have an edge but the overall market is a concern. I will gladly pass, multiple days at a time if necessary, when I do not have an edge. I will also gladly press my action aggressively when the market is in my favor and I have the edge. All of which helps to maximize my ROI and ensure I do not bet just because I need action or worse, I am chasing. It’s tough to have discipline in a business that can elicit strong impulses and emotions but if you can control yourself, you can be a danger to the sportsbooks rather than a danger to your own finances!” – The Sharp Plays
The UFC Algorithm (TESTING) has selected the top value as Turman -101 over Perez WIN
I have designed boxing algorithms for years but never really did one for UFC. I designed this algorithm based on my top boxing algorithm. Obviously, while they are both fighting sports, they are very different. I hoped however that the boxing design would provide a good foundation for MMA. So, I started the algorithm and now after each match I assess the performance and look for correlations from previous selections and results. I look at what the algorithm selected, the result of the match and try to locate possible data points that seem to show consistent correlation to the outcome. It’ll be a process but I post it here as it evolves so you can follow along. I do not advise betting any algorithm listed as “testing” for anything more than pizza money. Personally, I do not bet on algorithms in testing. I post them publicly just so you can follow along with the evolution of an algorithm.
Below are some sports data sources for your research. I love Team Rankings for ease of use and quantity/quality of data (TeamRankings.com).
Fourth Quarter Scoring: https://www.teamrankings.com/
Third Quarter Scoring: https://www.teamrankings.com/
Second Quarter Scoring: https://www.teamrankings.com/
First Quarter Scoring: https://www.teamrankings.com/
I cannot take credit for the idea of tracking NHL period totals. All credit goes to: @VSiNLive, @MitchMossRadio, @paulyhoward, @VSiNjb for the “Follow The Money 5” and the original guy who smelled something funny (and profitable) on 1P totals… @axsmithsports
Link on NHL.com to “Scoring By Period” statistics –