Records for the currently active algorithms are listed to the right. I’ll use this page to track and breakdown the active algorithms I am using and list any necessary details. I’ll also use the page to save algorithm plays initially posted to Twitter but which will play out over a longer period than just the current day (like golf tournament match-ups or tennis futures). Algorithms and their selections will be posted daily to Twitter (@TheSharpPlays) or on this page for monitoring. Algorithms in testing should not be wagered on for any material amount of money.
“It’s very easy to be a critic. It’s very hard to create.
Yet it’s creation, not criticism that builds societies and indeed inspires people.” – Douglas Murray.
Today’s (10/19/19) Algorithm Notes – It is a packed Saturday! I will be running both NCAA football algorithms (sides v3.1 and totals v6.2) as well as the NHL 1st Period algorithms, the NHL Grand Salami and the daily MLB algorithms. All of these will be posted to Twitter as soon as they are available. Be sure to check The Sharp Plays Index page for today’s chart.
“The book doesn’t require us to bet everyday and for the most part they do not have a minimum wager. I will gladly bet very lightly when I have an edge but the overall market is a concern. I will gladly pass, multiple days at a time if necessary, when I do not have an edge. I will also gladly press my action aggressively when the market is in my favor and I have the edge. All of which helps to maximize my ROI and ensure I do not bet just because I need action or worse, I am chasing. It’s tough to have discipline in a business that can elicit strong impulses and emotions but if you can control yourself, you can be a danger to the sportsbooks rather than a danger to your own finances!”
– The Sharp Plays
Current in-season analysis of the daily MLB algorithms was posted on August 23rd (https://thesharpplays.net/daily-mlb-algo-analysis/). I will be holding off on the daily MLB algorithms and keep my profits safe after a great season. The second half was not as strong as the first and no reason to force any action. Even with the way the second half went, the performance has been excellent overall on these. I expect to bring these and/or my “playoffs only” algorithms back in action when the post-season begins.
1st Inning O/U version 1.0 (46-37 +4.1u): NOTHING
1st Inning O/U version 2.0 (38-23 +15.0u): NOTHING
1st 5 Inning (46-28 +16.0u): NOTHING
Full Game (30-23 +5.8u): NOTHING
Overall MLB: 159-112 (58.7%) +40.7 units
The UFC Algorithm (TESTING) has selected the top value as Spann -170 over Clark WIN
I have designed boxing algorithms for years but never really did one for UFC. I designed this algorithm based on my top boxing algorithm. Obviously, while they are both fighting sports, they are very different. I hoped however that the boxing design would provide a good foundation for MMA. So, I started the algorithm and now after each match I assess the performance and look for correlations from previous selections and results. I look at what the algorithm selected, the result of the match and try to locate possible data points that seem to show consistent correlation to the outcome. It’ll be a process but I post it here as it evolves so you can follow along. I do not advise betting any algorithm listed as “testing” for anything more than pizza money. Personally, I do not bet on algorithms in testing. I post them publicly just so you can follow along with the evolution of an algorithm.
I am testing out a new horse racing algorithm designed just to pick the winning horse of a race. I am going to play around with this for a bit but if you would like to follow along with the results I will post it here. I am only going to use it for the big tracks. Today’s horse betting… NOTHING. I have not had time to get back to messing around with this algorithm but I hope to do so once the football season is over. Horse racing algorithm is 1 Win, 1 Place, 1 Show out of 3 races. A $2 bettor following the algorithm’s suggestions is -$3.40.
My golf ROUND match-up algorithm (13-16 -4.0 units) shows top value is on NOTHING
My golf FULL TOURNAMENT match-up algorithm (9-4 +4.1 units) shows the top value is on NOTHING
My golf tournament futures algorithm is showing the futures values as NOTHING