Records for the currently active algorithms are listed to the right. I’ll use this page to track and breakdown the active algorithms I am using and list any necessary details. I’ll also use the page to save algorithm plays initially posted to Twitter but which will play out over a longer period than just the current day (like golf tournament match-ups or tennis futures). Algorithms and their selections that are not under testing will be posted daily to Twitter (@TheSharpPlays) for monitoring. Algorithms in testing should not be wagered on for any material amount.
Today’s (8/19/19) Algorithm Notes – The daily MLB algorithms went 0-1 yesterday with the loss of SD/PHI OV. Funny the rare time there is an OVER bet and of course the game stays UNDER. It’s like Lady Luck just wants to torture us! I expect to have anything from the daily MLB algorithms and the Grand Salami algorithm again today. It probably will not be until later in the afternoon. With today being the first day of new series, umpires won’t be announced until a few hours before game time. I will post to Twitter when I run the algorithms. Yesterday the highlight of the day was the tournament match-up algorithm getting another win to move to 8-2 on the season! The full tournament angle has been spot on! Lastly for Monday, I will be running the tennis algorithms this morning and if anything pops up on those I will post it to Twitter. Be sure to check The Sharp Plays Index page for today’s commentary and chart.
“The book doesn’t require us to bet everyday and for the most part they do not have a minimum wager. I will gladly bet very lightly when I have an edge but the overall market is a concern. I will gladly pass, multiple days at a time if necessary, when I do not have an edge. I will also gladly press my action aggressively when the market is in my favor and I have the edge. All of which helps to maximize my ROI and ensure I do not bet just because I need action or worse, I am chasing. It’s tough to have discipline in a business that can elicit strong impulses and emotion but if you can control yourself, you can be a danger to the sportsbooks rather than a danger to your own finances!”
– The Sharp Plays
1st Inning O/U version 1.0 (41-29 +9.6 units): NOTHING
1st Inning O/U version 2.0 (37-22 +15.2u): NOTHING
1st 5 Inning (42-27 +13.1u): NOTHING
Full Game (27-20 +5.7u): NOTHING
Overall MLB: 147-97 (60.2%) +44.8 units
The UFC Algorithm (TESTING) has selected the top value as Miocic +120 over Cormier. WIN
I have designed boxing algorithms for years but never really did one for UFC. I designed this algorithm based on my top boxing algorithm. Obviously, while they are both fighting sports, they are very different. I hoped however that the boxing design would provide a good foundation for MMA. So, I started the algorithm and now after each match I assess the performance and look for correlations from previous selections and results. I look at what the algorithm selected, the result of the match and try to locate possible data points that seem to show consistent correlation to the outcome. It’ll be a process but I post it here as it evolves so you can follow along. I do not advise betting any algorithm listed as “testing” for anything more than pizza money. Personally, I do not bet on algorithms in testing. I post them publicly just so you can follow along with the evolution of an algorithm.
I am testing out a new horse racing algorithm designed just to pick the winning horse of a race. I am going to play around with this for a bit but if you would like to follow along with the results I will post it here. I am only going to use it for the big tracks. Today’s horse betting… NOTHING. Horse racing algorithm is 1 Win, 1 Place, 1 Show out of 3 races. A $2 bettor following the algorithm’s suggestions is -$3.40.
My golf ROUND match-up algorithm (11-12 round match-up record -1.7 units) shows top value is on NOTHING
My golf FULL TOURNAMENT match-up algorithm (8-2 tournament match-up record +5.5 units) shows the top value in the BMW Championship is on Finau +101 over Schauffele. WIN
My golf tournament futures algorithm is showing the futures values as NOTHING