I enjoy putting together articles to cover topics getting a lot of discussion on Twitter or in the sports & betting communities. When I have an article, it will be posted below on this page. I will also announce the article on Twitter and send a copy of the article to my mailing list (signup is on the right side of this page). If you have an idea for something you would like me to cover in-depth, please use the Contact link and send me your thoughts!

 

  • 2019-20 NCAA Basketball Championship Futures November 6, 2019 8:05 am EST -   It's college basketball time! I was finally able to sit down, pull the necessary data and run my NCAA Basketball Futures algorithm. The algorithm showed the following values for the NCAA Championship Futures market...…
  • End of Season MLB Algorithm Analysis October 31, 2019 7:56 am EDT - I did one of these in August for an in-season assessment of the MLB algorithmic action. Now that the season is over, amazing how fast it went by, I wanted to look back on the…
  • 2019-20 NBA Championship and Season Win Totals October 16, 2019 7:23 am EDT - What does my NBA Regular Season Wins algorithm show for the season ahead? I entered all the necessary data and adjustments for the new season in the algorithm. The algorithm did its magic and spit…
  • Key Numbers for NFL & NCAAF Spreads October 15, 2019 3:16 pm EDT - I was asked for a breakdown of key numbers in the NFL and for NCAA Football. Ask and you shall receive. Data is current to 2019... NCAA Football Margin of Victory Games % of Games…
  • Sports Betting Drawdowns by Pinnacle Sports October 14, 2019 9:48 am EDT - I am linking this article here to my website because I firmly believe people do not have a good appreciation for what to expect in gambling. People do not manage bankroll properly nor do they…
  • Sharp Betting Head Fakes – How Do They Work, What Are They? October 10, 2019 4:03 pm EDT -   Last week there was a lot of demand for an article on head fakes. I was actually surprised a lot of people were not familiar with what it is and how it is used.…
  • The Sports Hedge Fund October 3, 2019 2:25 pm EDT - Is the picture above your vision of sports gambling? Is it a field of money trees ripe for your picking? If it is, I am sorry to wake you up from the dream. Real professional…
  • 2019 MLB Playoff Series and World Series Analysis October 3, 2019 10:49 am EDT -   I had a chance to run the Division Round MLB series action through an algorithm I use for post-season MLB series pricing. Of the three series currently with a line hanging, I see one…
  • NHL Regular Season Point Totals & Stanley Cup Analysis October 2, 2019 10:31 am EDT - Who remembers the above? Playing NHL '91 on the Sega Genesis! Seems like yesterday. Kids these days don't know real video game graphics. LOL! I'll wrap up the trip down memory lane and get right…
  • The Sharp Plays – Premium Plays September 27, 2019 12:56 pm EDT - I discussed much of this over the past week. However I wanted to consolidate all the information on the Premium Plays into one place and add some additional details. I always receive offers of gratuities…
  • Content Updates & Information September 23, 2019 4:08 pm EDT - The content I am putting out this football season is all new for me. Every week, especially in these first few weeks of the season, I am reviewing every bit of content to find what…
  • The Future of The Sharp Plays! September 19, 2019 5:07 pm EDT -   I put some of this in the Robin Hood Club yesterday but I thought I'd share publicly too. Especially since I was shocked by the response it got. I was asked this week what…
  • Managing Bankroll When You Are COLD!!! September 13, 2019 3:55 pm EDT -   A few weeks ago I wrote an article about managing bankroll when you are running HOT! You can find the article at (https://thesharpplays.net/bm-when-on-fire/). In that article I mention that in the weeks ahead I…
  • NFL Spread vs. ML Value Analysis September 11, 2019 10:02 am EDT -   I posted this to Twitter but I wanted to save it to the website so people could refer back to it throughout the season. The below figures include data for over 10 years for…
  • The Sports Information Buffet – TSP Content Changes & Updates September 9, 2019 11:20 am EDT -   We have all gone to a buffet when we were ravenously hungry. You get your plate, you go up to the buffet ready to eat and everything looks good to you. You grab some…
  • NFL Regular Season Win Total Selections September 4, 2019 10:02 am EDT - I like to wait until we are right upon the start of the season to run the NFL win totals algorithm. It allows me to have the most information possible and adjust within the algorithm…
  • Bankroll Management When You’re ON FIRE!!! August 29, 2019 2:21 pm EDT -   I preach bankroll management all the time. In my opinion, bankroll management is more important than the bets you make. Proper bankroll management, as followers saw over the past month, can have you turning…
  • Daily MLB Algorithm Analysis (In-Season) August 23, 2019 4:09 pm EDT - As some of you may know, the daily MLB algorithms (see below) that I post to Twitter are all algorithms that have been designed from scratch in 2019. I have had 1st 5 innings and…
  • NCAA Regular Season Win Total Selections August 20, 2019 1:54 pm EDT - It's not a long post but I finally had a chance to sit down and run through my season win total calculations for college football. I am putting it up on my website to save…
  • The Lifelong Profit Promise… Never Achieved August 12, 2019 8:38 pm EDT - I included the below in the Robin Hood Club today. It got excellent feedback and some non-RHC members were curious about it so I thought I'd posted it here on the website. Hope you enjoy!…
  • Keep It Real – Reasonable Expectations for Gamblers July 31, 2019 2:11 pm EDT - Just in time for football I thought it might be a good idea to have a little reality check. Many novice and even veteran gamblers have no idea about gambling realities. Years of being drilled…
  • The 2019-20 NFL & NCAA Football Agenda! July 25, 2019 4:14 pm EDT - Today I am traveling so I thought while I am sitting on a plane I might as well think ahead to football. With July being a very boring month in terms of action and value…
  • Home Run Derby! July 8, 2019 2:36 pm EDT - Let's see what we can do with the 2019 Home Run Derby. I'll use some advanced analytics in a recipe I created to calculate the win probability for each player in the Derby. First, I…
  • You Can’t Save Everyone! July 5, 2019 11:04 am EDT -   A version of the message below is being posted to the Robin Hood Club today for all those that purchased yesterday's Robin Hood Selection. I felt however that the message is good reality check…
  • Parlays Aren’t Just For Suckers Anymore June 19, 2019 2:30 pm EDT - A friend passed this article along to me. Said he thought The Sharp Plays audience would enjoy the read. It was one of my favorite articles that he put together so I am happy to…
  • The Sharp Plays Index – Past, Present & Future June 17, 2019 4:28 pm EDT - When I started the index (link to the index is in the website menu or you can click here) it was met with a lot of reservation from those who follow me. I get it,…
  • Why Ticket/Money Percentages Don’t Tell The Whole Story June 6, 2019 9:32 am EDT - Last night for Game 3 between Toronto/Golden State I posted on Twitter that the sharp money was on Toronto and the public was on Golden St. When I posted I received a handful of comments…
  • Why Does The Price Have To Be Right?? June 5, 2019 7:55 am EDT - Often when I have a hot algorithm and a day comes up when there isn't a play, people ask for the "close" plays. People often incorrectly assume that algorithms pick winners and then weight those…
  • Open Letter to Robin Hood Buyers April 25, 2019 1:01 pm EDT - I sent the below letter to people who either supported what I do at The Sharp Plays through the purchase of a Robin Hood or other selection at any point in time. I did have…
  • Classifying Sharp Action – The Meaning of “X” and “Y” Known Bettors April 19, 2019 8:43 am EDT - When I first started posting big bets (sharp and recreational) on Twitter in January, the goal was just to show a window inside the action that was going on offshore. Starting in early February and…
  • Random Questions March 23, 2019 11:25 am EDT - I get asked some great questions all the time and I thought I would compile them every so often and answer them. The website allows me a forum to respond in more detail than I…
  • Public/Sharp Concentration – What The Hell Does It Mean?? March 22, 2019 9:08 am EDT - Often when people are assessing what game the public is on they look at ticket or money percentages provided by line services. Sometimes even the books themselves put out this data. The problem with figuring…
  • Algorithm Design Basis For Assessment Of The 1st Inning Yes/No Prop March 19, 2019 2:39 pm EDT - If you read my bio on the website you heard how I used to write programs on my TI-82 graphing calculator in high school. Those programs were my first algorithms. Since then I have written…
  • “Known” Bettors Win All The Time, Right??? March 19, 2019 1:49 pm EDT - I call these "articles" that I'll post on the website but they are more like very extended Twitter posts. I wish I had the time to write journal length articles but at present I do…
  • What’s Behind The “Known” Bettor Plays I Post? March 11, 2019 5:43 pm EDT - The most frequently asked questions I get revolve around what is behind the "known" bettor information I post. I thought why not make that my first article. I am sure there will be more articles…