The Sharp Plays Newsletter – Week #9

Recap & Week Ahead –  It was a very good weekend overall for content, especially the Robin Hood Club! In case you missed it on Twitter, below were the breakdowns of the action from the weekend. Also, don’t forget to check the main page of the website (TheSharpPlays.com or TheSharpPlays.net) each morning to view the updated content tracking tables. I only do these daily breakdowns on Twitter for the weekend due to the volume of content posted on Saturday and Sunday…

SUNDAY
Robin Hood Club 7-2 +2.7 units
Little John 3-1 +5.0u
NFL 1st Qtr Algo 3-0 +3.1u
NFL v2.0 Spread Algo 1-0
1st Inning Algo 1-0
Late Sharp Money Total 1-0
Early Sharp Buy 1-0 (newsletter)
Personal Pizza Prop 1-0
1st Period Algo 0-1
Salami 0-1
Mr. P Fade 0-1

SATURDAY
Robin Hood Club 5-1 +1.5 units
Premium Play 1-0
NCAAF v3.1 Spread Algorithm 2-0
NCAAF v6.2 Totals Algo 2-0
UFC Algo 1-0 +1.3u
Late Sharp Money Totals 2-1
Late Sharp Money Sides 2-2
Late Sharp Money MLB 0-1 by the hook
Little John -1.2 units

The Premium Plays continue their run and move to 6-0 after winning wire to wire with Ohio U +2.5 on Saturday. Yep, you know what’s coming in the next sentence, LOL! Please remember… I say this every week but anytime something is hot it is always important to remember that these Premium Plays will not hit 100% or 90%, 80%, 70% or probably even 60% lifetime. It would be nice but that’s not how things work in sports gambling. So, when betting on Premium Plays, like any play, be sure to bet intelligently and with the long-term in mind. Do not bet expecting Premium Plays will go 20-0, 19-1, 17-3 over the next 20 plays. Sure they could but the chances are very low. Instead, bet as though we expect a 12-8 record over the next 20 plays and you never know when those 8 will occur! If you do that, these will be a very enjoyable and profitable endeavor! I’m going to do a Premium Play again for this Saturday’s College Football! As I do every Tuesday, the PRE-ORDER is now open! So, if you would like to pre-order this week’s NCAAF Premium Play or to get more details on Premium Plays, you can do so at TheSharpPlays.net/premium/. Thank you for the support and remember, bet smart! Locks and “sure things” do not exist… don’t bet like they do!

For the week ahead, we have the conclusion of the MLB season. Sad to see it go but it was a great season for the daily MLB algorithms regardless of what happens in Game 6 or Game 7, if needed. The daily MLB algorithms on Twitter look to finish +40 units for the season. All of it free and all of it fun! I hope you joined in on the profits! Other than the World Series wrapping up, nothing much exciting to report for the week ahead. It is amazing we get the start of November in a few days and that’s the final month of regular season college football. Where does the time go?!?! It also ushers in the start of college basketball! It’s a fun season and I look forward to covering all that action. You can expect the typical coverage of college basketball that you see for the other major sports (algorithms, concentrations, sharp money, Late Sharp Money, etc.).

Algorithms – It was a very good week for the algorithms in all sports! Over in MLB, as I said above, we moved back above 40 units for the season on the daily totals algorithms. In the NHL, the Grand Salami algorithm moved to 7-2. On the 1st periods, still not sure what to do there but I will keep posting and monitoring it. In football it was a phenomenal weekend! Overall the football algorithms went 9-0!!! The NFL algorithm v2.0 got a win on Denver (it loves Denver) over Indy to move to 6-3 overall on the season for +2.7 units. As noted on Twitter earlier today the 1st Quarter algorithm went 4-0 this weekend! Over in college the spread algorithm v3.1 went 2-0 and the totals algorithm v6.2 went 2-0! All of them posted free on Twitter! Not too bad! I have several NBA algorithms and I still have not made a decision which would be best to cover daily. I have to figure that out this week because before we know it, college basketball will be here and I will want to do the same for college baskets. I promise I will get an NBA algorithm up there this week and have it run consistently as the daily algorithm for the sport. Just need to take the time and look over all my weapons and figure what will be the best fit for a daily posting.

Early Sharp Buys (6-6 YTD) –  I think it is now like four weeks in a row that these early sharp buys have gone 1-1. It never fails! Last week Michigan St was a joke in college but Denver got the win in the NFL to complete the consistent 1-1 record. Let’s see again this  week if it can finally turn the 2-0 performance. The early sharp buy in college football is on Kansas +6.5 over Kansas St. Kansas State coming off the big win over Oklahoma. The early sharp buy in the NFL is Baltimore +4 and +3.5 over New England. The Patriots are getting a ton of respect for their dominance however that dominance has come against Pittsburgh, Jets, Buffalo, Washington, Miami, Giants, Jets, Cleveland. The only team that is anywhere decent is Pittsburgh and Buffalo however Buffalo was exposed against Philly this past weekend. Sunday night is the first real test of New England and I can’t wait to see how it goes. The sharps obviously feel the line is too high and they love the +4 or +3.5. The next sharp buy is not official for tracking here but I just had to include it because it made me laugh. The sharp buy getting the second most attention this coming week in the NFL, the Chicago Bears at +5. I joked about going all-in on the Bears and maybe they are just setting up the head fake however the action is coming in. LOL!!! Who’s in for betting the Bears!?!? Watch those bastards win outright and easy this week. Sometimes you can’t make it up when it comes to the market action!

Early Algorithm Look (0-0 YTD) –  I wanted to add a new feature to the newsletter. People have asked for an early algorithm look so here goes. I used one of my college football algorithms and scanned all the games for the upcoming weekend. I then looked for the top value and here we go! The early algorithm play in college football is on Memphis -5.5 (Pinnacle) over SMU. It shows the line should be Memphis -10.5 so we get 5 points of value here. Let’s see how this new section of the weekly newsletter does on its maiden voyage!

My Handicapping (BEWARE) –  Yeah I am a solid fade when it comes to my handicapping! LOL! Last week a late TD in the Rice game moved my record for this section to 2-7!! Oh my goodness, I would drop this section and look for something else but hey, it’s a good fade. I don’t mind saying it and giving you my thoughts! For this week I like Army +13.5 over Air Force. I think Air Force is getting overvalued here. Utah State was pathetic this past weekend and isn’t a good test of the quality of the Air Force program. Army started the season strong and with high hopes. However those hopes have since fallen away. Military academy games really get the teams fired up. I think Army brings their best effort to this game and leaves it on the field. I look for Army to control the clock as they do and I think that will make the +13.5 too much for AF to overcome. Army should be able to score on Air Force as well. So it really comes down to whether Army can slow down Air Force. I think they have the talent to do it. I think Army gets an easy cover in this one! 

My Two Cents –   Short one today but the topic came up a few times this week so I’ll share a quick two cents. The best of gamblers have their cold streaks. Like HPV in a brothel, you cannot avoid it! Since you can’t get around it, the key is to manage yourself and your action. The past week the content was very strong. There will also be those days and weeks it is not very strong. Actually it’ll be awful. I wish that were never the case but it is all part of the business. The only place bad runs don’t exist are in the scamdicapper brochures or websites that tout 65% lifetime performance and never a losing week. It’s a fun dream, too bad it does not exist. Since cold streaks are unavoidable, the key to getting through one is bankroll management. I’ve talked enough about bankroll management for now. Instead how about another key of getting through a cold streak… remembering what it was like when it was hot! Remembering past hot streak success will help you keep perspective that the cold streak is not permanent or the end of your betting life. Remembering the hot amidst the cold that occurs in your sports betting will help you keep perspective. Not losing perspective in a cold streak is vital. Once you lose that perspective (cold streak is temporary, just need to weather it), losing your discipline and eventually your bankroll will soon follow!

That’ll close out this week’s newsletter for me! Thanks for giving the newsletter here a read today! I am always open to any feedback you may have. I might not listen to it, LOL, but I am open to it!  😉

Good luck in your action!
~ The Sharp Plays